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美联储就利率问题进行强硬谈判后,“超买”黄金加剧了损失

2024-05-24 04:50

  • Gold futures extended this week's sharp losses on Thursday, falling to two-week lows after the latest Federal Reserve minutes included hawkish commentary on monetary easing.
  • U.S. Treasury yields have ticked higher following the Fed minutes, which showed a willingness to hold rates higher as inflation remains stubborn, a headwind for non-interest bearing billion, SP Angel analysts said, according to Dow Jones, adding that Asian trading of gold has been soft this week, with spreads weakening and volumes muted.
  • Following the release of the minutes, "traders moved to price in November as the more likely timing for the first Fed rate cut, driving higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar, which caused losses for the non-yielding precious metal," ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista wrote, according to Marketwatch.
  • "We note strong Chinese buying has been taking place on Fridays and Mondays in this recent gold rally... tomorrow might follow this trend," SP Angel wrote.
  • Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for May delivery finished -2.3% to $2,335.00/oz, its third straight daily decline that caps a 4% loss since Monday, when gold hit a record high $2,454.20/oz.
  • Also, front-month May Comex silver (XAGUSD:CUR) settled -3.2% to $30.824/oz, a one-week low, and front-month May copper (HG1:COM) closed -1% to $4.8165/lb.
  • ETFs: (NYSEARCA:GLD), (NYSEARCA:GDX), (GDXJ), (IAU), (NUGT), (PHYS), (GLDM), (AAAU), (SGOL), (BAR), (OUNZ), (SLV), (PSLV), (SIVR), (SIL), (SILJ), (CPER), (COPX), (OTC:JJCTF)
  • The metals complex has been caught up in the broader risk-off move following Wednesday's Fed meeting minutes, and recent price strength - especially in copper - was becoming increasingly detached from short-term fundamentals, ING analysts said, "therefore we would have likely seen some profit-taking from speculators."
  • UBS raised its gold price forecast to $2,600/oz for year-end 2024 and recommended buying on dips at ~$2,300 or below, citing softer U.S. economic data for April, upwardly revised central bank demand for gold and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.

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