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2024-07-28 20:00
As July transitions to August, the upcoming week promises a flood of earnings reports from some of the world's largest companies. The spotlight is firmly on the members of the Magnificent 7: Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL).
In addition to these tech behemoths, the week ahead will also feature reports from diverse sectors, including coffee house chain Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX), fast food colossus McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), aerospace and defense giant Boeing (NYSE:BA) and payment processor Mastercard (MA).
Major pharmaceutical companies Pfizer (PFE), Moderna (MRNA) and Merck (MRK) will also release figures, along with energy giants Chevron (CVX), ExxonMobil (XOM), Shell (SHEL), and BP (BP).
Meme stocks DraftKings (DKNG), Roblox (RBLX), SoFi Technologies (SOFI), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) highlight the earnings docket as well.
Below is a rundown of major quarterly updates anticipated in the week of July 29– August 2:
McDonald's (MCD), the world's second-largest restaurant chain, is set to unveil its Q2 earnings on Monday. While analysts predict a slight uptick in revenue, they expect profits to dip around 3% compared to the previous year.
While Wall Street analysts remain optimistic about the fast-food giant, with a consensus Buy rating, Seeking Alpha's quant model is more cautious, assigning it a Hold rating, noting concerns over McDonald's valuation and growth.
Luca Socci, a bullish SA author, predicts McDonald's shares are declining due to high commodity prices and consumer price index increases. The company's shift to franchising has resulted in flat revenue growth but increased profitability. However, the Q2 earnings preview suggests a gloomy outlook, with value promotions impacting margins and potential post-earnings sell-off risk.
Also reporting: Tilray Brands (TLRY), Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK), ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON), F5 (FFIV), Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) and more.
After lackluster reports from other members of the Magnificent 7, Microsoft (MSFT) is set to release its quarterly performance after the closing bell on Tuesday. Analysts expect more than 9% growth in EPS and around 15% growth in its top line. The company has recently been in the international spotlight, implicated alongside CrowdStrike (CRWD) in a global IT black out.
So far this year, Microsoft is the second-weakest performer (after Tesla) within the prestigious Magnificent 7 group of technology and growth stocks.
While Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system maintains a cautious Hold outlook, Wall Street analysts continue to express optimism with a consensus Strong Buy rating.
Oakoff Investments, a bullish SA Investing Group Leader, expects strong performance in OS, cloud and search segments in the quarter, citing the most recent developments, guidance and market trends.
On the other hand, Noah's Arc Capital Management, SA author with a bearish sentiment, believes Microsoft's growth relies heavily on future backend performance to meet ambitious price targets. Despite high earnings expectations, Microsoft's valuation is stretched compared to sector medians, leading to a Hold rating. The company plans to double capital expenditures by FY2025, focusing on AI, but competition from Google poses a significant threat, the analyst stated.
Also reporting: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Pfizer (PFE), PayPal Holdings (PYPL), Starbucks (SBUX), Procter & Gamble (PG), Merck & Co (MRK), BP p.l.c. (BP), Pinterest (PINS), SoFi Technologies (SOFI), American Tower Corporation (AMT), First Solar (FSLR), Rio Tinto Group (RIO), Lemonade (LMND), Electronic Arts (EA), JetBlue Airways (JBLU) and more.
Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook, is set to announce its quarterly results after Wednesday's closing bell. Following its last earnings report, the company's shares dropped on a revenue forecast for Q2 between $36.5B and $39B, with the midpoint falling short of consensus expectations. Meta also projected full-year expenses of $94B-$99B due to higher infrastructure and legal costs. In addition, the firm increased its full-year capex forecast to $35B-$40B from a previous $30B-$37B to support its AI investments.
In 2024, Meta is the second-best performer (after NVIDIA) within the Magnificent 7 stocks, rising 28% this year and about 54% over the past 12 months. Wall Street analysts remain optimistic, maintaining a consensus Buy recommendation. Meanwhile, the SA Quant Rating system suggests holding the stock.
Earlier this week, Meta unveiled its largest language model, Llama 3.1 405B, amid growing competition from Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL).
SA Investing Group Leader Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is bullish on Meta, with a price target of $630 by summer 2025. He highlights the company's strong AI investments and predicts an 18% CAGR in 2024, noting that Meta's stock valuation at 22x next year's free cash flow is attractive for new investors.
In contrast, Tom Lloyd, another SA Investing Group Leader, has removed Meta from his Model Portfolio due to underperformance and multiple sell signals. He indicates a bearish trend based on technical and fundamental data, with the stock falling towards support levels and showing various sell signals on the chart.
Also reporting: Arm Holdings (ARM), Boeing (BA), QUALCOMM (QCOM), Altria (MO), Mastercard (MA), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Etsy (ETSY), GSK (GSK), DuPont (DD), Lam Research (LRCX), Riot Platforms (RIOT), Transocean (RIG), eBay (EBAY), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), T-Mobile US (TMUS), American International Group (AIG), MGM Resorts International (MGM), Automatic Data Processing (ADP), Aflac Incorporated (AFL), Marriott International (MAR), MetLife (MET) and more.
California-based tech giant Apple (AAPL) is slated to report financial figures on Thursday, after the market close, with analysts anticipating a 6% Y/Y rise in earnings per share and around 3% revenue growth.
Despite Wall Street's optimism, reflected in a consensus Buy rating, Seeking Alpha's quant model is more cautious, assigning a Hold rating due to concerns about growth and valuation.
SA author Roberts Berzins, who also gives AAPL a Hold rating, argues that sales dynamics remain weak and investments in the Vision Pro have yet to yield significant returns.
E-commerce and cloud giant Amazon (AMZN), another part of the Magnificent 7, will report its Q2 earnings after the closing bell on Thursday, alongside Apple.
Over the past 12 months, Amazon shares have risen by about 39% and by nearly 20% so far this year. While Wall Street analysts have a consensus Strong Buy rating, Seeking Alpha's Quant Ratings system maintains a Hold rating on the stock.
SA Investing Group Leader Dividend Sensei, with a bullish stance, notes that the tech earnings season's volatility presents buying opportunities for Amazon investors. He highlights Amazon's substantial growth potential, with seven markets each exceeding $1T and $1.1T in growth spending projected through 2029. According to the analyst, this scale positions Amazon nearly as large as the US government and is expected to boost free cash flow to $200B.
Conversely, SA author The Entertainment Oracle, who holds a Hold rating, points out that Amazon's expansion into streaming leads to misleading comparisons with Netflix, which is solely focused on streaming. Amazon’s streaming efforts are primarily a complement to its main retail business. The recent update to its streaming interface, which displays content only from subscribed services, aligns with its strategy to keep both its streaming and retail platforms simple and user-friendly, the analyst stated.
Also reporting: Intel (INTC), Block (SQ), Roku (ROKU), Shell (SHEL), Moderna (MRNA), Twilio (TWLO), ConocoPhillips (COP), Coinbase (COIN), Snap (SNAP), DraftKings (DKNG), MercadoLibre (MELI), Prudential Financial (PRU), Roblox (RBLX), Biogen (BIIB), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Marathon Digital (MARA), United States Steel (X), Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Clorox (CLX), Consolidated Edison (ED), Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and more.
The busy earnings week concludes with oil giants Chevron (CVX) and ExxonMobil (XOM), both reporting Q2 earnings before the market opens on Friday. Analysts expect a year-over-year revenue surge for both companies, though they predict a drop in Chevron's bottom line.
Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system takes a cautious stance on the stocks, assigning a Hold rating to both, while Wall Street analysts remain optimistic with Buy ratings.
Bullish on CVX and XOM, SA author Steven Fiorillo identifies ExxonMobil as a strong investment due to its robust financials, attractive valuation, and potential for dividend and buyback growth. He also sees Chevron as offering value with its high dividend yield and potential for capital appreciation.
Also reporting: AMC Entertainment (AMC), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Editas Medicine (EDIT), Frontier Communications (FYBR), Fulgent Genetics (FLGT), Tellurian (TELL) and more.