Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Guild Holdings Company (NYSE:GHLD)

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Guild Holdings Company (NYSE:GHLD) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 38.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Guild Holdings has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guild Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Guild Holdings' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Guild Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 56% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 94% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 53% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guild Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Guild Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Guild Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.